Your football handicapper, built from grades and market prices

Questions

What exactly do I get each week?

The week's plays for the NFL and college football, each with the side, the number, the price, the stake as a percentage of bankroll, the edge percentage, the cover probability and a short write up built from the matchup. You also get the board we passed on, so you can see what was rejected.

How is the stake decided?

Stake is the confidence statement. A play only publishes once it clears a threshold that already assumes the market is close to right, and the size then scales from 1% up to 3% of bankroll with the size of the edge and the quality of the price. Nothing is ever larger than 3%.

How are results graded?

Automatically, from the final score, by a job that runs every thirty minutes. Pushes are pushes, a postponed game is no action, and nothing is edited after the fact. The full record on this page is generated from the same table the app reads.

Where does the data come from?

Player and unit grades and preseason power ratings are the starting point for every team, and results take over as the season builds evidence. Schedules, lines, scores and injury reports come from public sources, and the stadium forecast comes from a weather service.

Can I cancel?

Any time, from the billing portal inside your account. Weekly and monthly stop at the end of the period you have paid for. The season pass is a single payment with no renewal.

Is this betting advice?

No. Spreadhound publishes analysis and a public record of it. What you do with a number is your call, and no model is a licence to bet money you need.