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NCAAFWeek 7

East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers prediction and odds

Thursday, October 15 at 7:30 PM ET · Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL · ESPN

Also searched as UAB Blazers vs East Carolina Pirates prediction, ECU vs UAB, UAB vs ECU and East Carolina Pirates versus UAB Blazers.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUAB Blazers +4.5UAB Blazers +6.5
Total47.546.5
MoneylineUAB +160 / ECU -192UAB 34% to win

Line movement: the spread opened UAB Blazers +6.5, the total opened at 53.5.

Model lean: East Carolina Pirates -4.5 (55%), Under 47.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

East Carolina Pirates (3-2) visit UAB Blazers (3-3) at Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL, Thursday, October 15 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has East Carolina Pirates by 4.5, with a total of 47.5. The line opened UAB Blazers +6.5. Our model makes it UAB Blazers +6.5 with a total of 46.5 and gives UAB Blazers a 34% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers: questions

Who is favored in East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers?
The market has East Carolina Pirates by 4.5. On the moneyline, UAB Blazers +160 and East Carolina Pirates -192.
What is the over/under for East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers?
The total is 47.5, after opening at 53.5. Our model makes it 46.5.
What does the model predict for East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers?
It leans East Carolina Pirates -4.5 (55%) and Under 47.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.