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NCAAFWeek 7

Kennesaw State Owls vs Missouri State Bears prediction and odds

Wednesday, October 14 at 7:30 PM ET · Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO · CBSSN

Also searched as Missouri State Bears vs Kennesaw State Owls prediction, KENN vs MOST, MOST vs KENN and Kennesaw State Owls versus Missouri State Bears.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMissouri State Bears +3Missouri State Bears +1.5
Total51.549.5
MoneylineMOST +136 / KENN -162MOST 46% to win

Line movement: the total opened at 50.5.

Model lean: Missouri State Bears +3 (54%), Under 51.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Kennesaw State Owls (1-4) visit Missouri State Bears (1-4) at Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO, Wednesday, October 14 at 7:30 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Kennesaw State Owls by 3, with a total of 51.5. Our model makes it Missouri State Bears +1.5 with a total of 49.5 and gives Missouri State Bears a 46% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Kennesaw State Owls vs Missouri State Bears: questions

Who is favored in Kennesaw State Owls vs Missouri State Bears?
The market has Kennesaw State Owls by 3. On the moneyline, Missouri State Bears +136 and Kennesaw State Owls -162.
What is the over/under for Kennesaw State Owls vs Missouri State Bears?
The total is 51.5, after opening at 50.5. Our model makes it 49.5.
What does the model predict for Kennesaw State Owls vs Missouri State Bears?
It leans Missouri State Bears +3 (54%) and Under 51.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.