Skip to content
NCAAFWeek 7

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET · Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN · ABC

Also searched as Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction, ALA vs TENN, TENN vs ALA and Alabama Crimson Tide versus Tennessee Volunteers.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadTennessee Volunteers +8.5Tennessee Volunteers +9.5
Total51.554
MoneylineTENN +260 / ALA -325TENN 27% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Tennessee Volunteers +1.5, the total opened at 56.5.

Model lean: Alabama Crimson Tide -8.5 (53%), Over 51.5 (57%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1) visit No. 14 Tennessee Volunteers (5-1) at Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN, Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET, on ABC. The market has Alabama Crimson Tide by 8.5, with a total of 51.5. The line opened Tennessee Volunteers +1.5. Our model makes it Tennessee Volunteers +9.5 with a total of 54 and gives Tennessee Volunteers a 27% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers: questions

Who is favored in Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers?
The market has Alabama Crimson Tide by 8.5. On the moneyline, Tennessee Volunteers +260 and Alabama Crimson Tide -325.
What is the over/under for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers?
The total is 51.5, after opening at 56.5. Our model makes it 54.
What does the model predict for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers?
It leans Alabama Crimson Tide -8.5 (53%) and Over 51.5 (57%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

One email every Wednesday. No spam, unsubscribe in one click.

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.