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NCAAFWeek 7

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET · FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN · ESPN2

Also searched as Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction, ARK vs VAN, VAN vs ARK and Arkansas Razorbacks versus Vanderbilt Commodores.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadVanderbilt Commodores -6Vanderbilt Commodores -7
Total50.549
MoneylineVAN -225 / ARK +185VAN 66% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Vanderbilt Commodores -6.5.

Model lean: Vanderbilt Commodores -6 (52%), Under 50.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4) visit Vanderbilt Commodores (3-3) at FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN, Saturday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Vanderbilt Commodores by 6, with a total of 50.5. The line opened Vanderbilt Commodores -6.5. Our model makes it Vanderbilt Commodores -7 with a total of 49 and gives Vanderbilt Commodores a 66% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores: questions

Who is favored in Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores?
The market has Vanderbilt Commodores by 6. On the moneyline, Vanderbilt Commodores -225 and Arkansas Razorbacks +185.
What is the over/under for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores?
The total is 50.5. Our model makes it 49.
What does the model predict for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores?
It leans Vanderbilt Commodores -6 (52%) and Under 50.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.