Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction and odds
Saturday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET · M. M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS · ESPN+
Also searched as Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction, ARST vs USM, USM vs ARST and Arkansas State Red Wolves versus Southern Miss Golden Eagles.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Southern Miss Golden Eagles +7 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles +8 |
| Total | 62.5 | 61.5 |
| Moneyline | USM +220 / ARST -270 | USM 32% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Southern Miss Golden Eagles +6.5, the total opened at 55.5.
Model lean: Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 (52%), Under 62.5 (52%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-4) visit Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-4) at M. M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS, Saturday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Arkansas State Red Wolves by 7, with a total of 62.5. The line opened Southern Miss Golden Eagles +6.5. Our model makes it Southern Miss Golden Eagles +8 with a total of 61.5 and gives Southern Miss Golden Eagles a 32% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles: questions
- Who is favored in Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?
- The market has Arkansas State Red Wolves by 7. On the moneyline, Southern Miss Golden Eagles +220 and Arkansas State Red Wolves -270.
- What is the over/under for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?
- The total is 62.5, after opening at 55.5. Our model makes it 61.5.
- What does the model predict for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?
- It leans Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 (52%) and Under 62.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.