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NCAAFWeek 7

Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET · Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA · ESPN

Also searched as Georgia Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers prediction, AUB vs UGA, UGA vs AUB and Auburn Tigers versus Georgia Bulldogs.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadGeorgia Bulldogs -20.5Georgia Bulldogs -23.5
Total49.550
MoneylineUGA -1450 / AUB +850UGA 93% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Georgia Bulldogs -16.5, the total opened at 55.5.

Model lean: Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (57%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Auburn Tigers (3-2) visit No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (6-0) at Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA, Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Georgia Bulldogs by 20.5, with a total of 49.5. The line opened Georgia Bulldogs -16.5. Our model makes it Georgia Bulldogs -23.5 with a total of 50 and gives Georgia Bulldogs a 93% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs: questions

Who is favored in Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs?
The market has Georgia Bulldogs by 20.5. On the moneyline, Georgia Bulldogs -1450 and Auburn Tigers +850.
What is the over/under for Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs?
The total is 49.5, after opening at 55.5. Our model makes it 50.
What does the model predict for Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs?
It leans Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (57%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.