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NCAAFWeek 7

Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET · Michie Stadium, West Point, NY · CBSSN

Also searched as Army Black Knights vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction, FAU vs ARMY, ARMY vs FAU and Florida Atlantic Owls versus Army Black Knights.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadArmy Black Knights -2.5Army Black Knights -0.5
Total55.554
MoneylineARMY -142 / FAU +120ARMY 51% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Army Black Knights -3, the total opened at 59.5.

Model lean: Florida Atlantic Owls +2.5 (55%), Under 55.5 (54%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls (4-1) visit Army Black Knights (3-2) at Michie Stadium, West Point, NY, Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Army Black Knights by 2.5, with a total of 55.5. The line opened Army Black Knights -3. Our model makes it Army Black Knights -0.5 with a total of 54 and gives Army Black Knights a 51% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights: questions

Who is favored in Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights?
The market has Army Black Knights by 2.5. On the moneyline, Army Black Knights -142 and Florida Atlantic Owls +120.
What is the over/under for Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights?
The total is 55.5, after opening at 59.5. Our model makes it 54.
What does the model predict for Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights?
It leans Florida Atlantic Owls +2.5 (55%) and Under 55.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.