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NCAAFWeek 7

Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL · ESPN

Also searched as Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles prediction, FSU vs MIA, MIA vs FSU and Florida State Seminoles versus Miami Hurricanes.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMiami Hurricanes -21Miami Hurricanes -22.5
Total55.555.5
MoneylineMIA -1650 / FSU +950MIA 92% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Miami Hurricanes -16.5, the total opened at 53.5.

Model lean: Miami Hurricanes -21 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Florida State Seminoles (3-3) visit No. 3 Miami Hurricanes (5-0) at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL, Saturday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Miami Hurricanes by 21, with a total of 55.5. The line opened Miami Hurricanes -16.5. Our model makes it Miami Hurricanes -22.5 with a total of 55.5 and gives Miami Hurricanes a 92% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes: questions

Who is favored in Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes?
The market has Miami Hurricanes by 21. On the moneyline, Miami Hurricanes -1650 and Florida State Seminoles +950.
What is the over/under for Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes?
The total is 55.5, after opening at 53.5. Our model makes it 55.5.
What does the model predict for Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes?
It leans Miami Hurricanes -21 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.