Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction and odds
Saturday, October 17 at 10:30 PM ET · Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA · CBSSN
Also searched as San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs prediction, FRES vs SDSU, SDSU vs FRES and Fresno State Bulldogs versus San Diego State Aztecs.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | San Diego State Aztecs +7.5 | San Diego State Aztecs +7.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 48.5 |
| Moneyline | SDSU +250 / FRES -310 | SDSU 32% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened San Diego State Aztecs +8.5, the total opened at 43.5.
Model lean: Over 46.5 (56%), San Diego State Aztecs moneyline +250 (32%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Fresno State Bulldogs (4-2) visit San Diego State Aztecs (2-4) at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA, Saturday, October 17 at 10:30 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Fresno State Bulldogs by 7.5, with a total of 46.5. The line opened San Diego State Aztecs +8.5. Our model makes it San Diego State Aztecs +7.5 with a total of 48.5 and gives San Diego State Aztecs a 32% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs: questions
- Who is favored in Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs?
- The market has Fresno State Bulldogs by 7.5. On the moneyline, San Diego State Aztecs +250 and Fresno State Bulldogs -310.
- What is the over/under for Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs?
- The total is 46.5, after opening at 43.5. Our model makes it 48.5.
- What does the model predict for Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs?
- It leans Over 46.5 (56%) and San Diego State Aztecs moneyline +250 (32%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.