Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers prediction and odds
Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET · Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA · ESPN
Also searched as LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction, MSST vs LSU, LSU vs MSST and Mississippi State Bulldogs versus LSU Tigers.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | LSU Tigers -14 | LSU Tigers -11 |
| Total | 58.5 | 60 |
| Moneyline | LSU -535 / MSST +400 | LSU 75% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened LSU Tigers -12.5, the total opened at 59.5.
Model lean: Mississippi State Bulldogs +14 (58%), Over 58.5 (55%), Mississippi State Bulldogs moneyline +400 (25%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
No. 16 Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1) visit No. 22 LSU Tigers (4-2) at Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA, Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has LSU Tigers by 14, with a total of 58.5. The line opened LSU Tigers -12.5. Our model makes it LSU Tigers -11 with a total of 60 and gives LSU Tigers a 75% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers: questions
- Who is favored in Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?
- The market has LSU Tigers by 14. On the moneyline, LSU Tigers -535 and Mississippi State Bulldogs +400.
- What is the over/under for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?
- The total is 58.5, after opening at 59.5. Our model makes it 60.
- What does the model predict for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?
- It leans Mississippi State Bulldogs +14 (58%) and Over 58.5 (55%) and Mississippi State Bulldogs moneyline +400 (25%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.