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NCAAFWeek 7

Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 8:00 PM ET · Alamodome, San Antonio, TX · ESPNU

Also searched as UTSA Roadrunners vs Navy Midshipmen prediction, NAVY vs UTSA, UTSA vs NAVY and Navy Midshipmen versus UTSA Roadrunners.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUTSA Roadrunners -6.5UTSA Roadrunners -9
Total55.554.5
MoneylineUTSA -258 / NAVY +210UTSA 71% to win

Line movement: the spread opened UTSA Roadrunners -7.

Model lean: UTSA Roadrunners -6.5 (56%), Under 55.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Navy Midshipmen (2-3) visit UTSA Roadrunners (5-1) at Alamodome, San Antonio, TX, Saturday, October 17 at 8:00 PM ET, on ESPNU. The market has UTSA Roadrunners by 6.5, with a total of 55.5. The line opened UTSA Roadrunners -7. Our model makes it UTSA Roadrunners -9 with a total of 54.5 and gives UTSA Roadrunners a 71% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners: questions

Who is favored in Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners?
The market has UTSA Roadrunners by 6.5. On the moneyline, UTSA Roadrunners -258 and Navy Midshipmen +210.
What is the over/under for Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners?
The total is 55.5. Our model makes it 54.5.
What does the model predict for Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners?
It leans UTSA Roadrunners -6.5 (56%) and Under 55.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.