Who is favored in North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils?

The market has Duke Blue Devils by 3. On the moneyline, Duke Blue Devils -162 and North Carolina Tar Heels +136.

What is the over/under for North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils?

The total is 47.5, after opening at 54.5. Our model makes it 46.

What does the model predict for North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils?

It leans Duke Blue Devils -3 (52%) and Under 47.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 7

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET · Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC · ESPN2

Also searched as Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction, UNC vs DUKE, DUKE vs UNC and North Carolina Tar Heels versus Duke Blue Devils.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Duke Blue Devils -3	Duke Blue Devils -3.5
Total	47.5	46
Moneyline	DUKE -162 / UNC +136	DUKE 59% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Duke Blue Devils -4.5, the total opened at 54.5.

Model lean: Duke Blue Devils -3 (52%), Under 47.5 (54%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels (3-2) visit Duke Blue Devils (4-1) at Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC, Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Duke Blue Devils by 3, with a total of 47.5. The line opened Duke Blue Devils -4.5. Our model makes it Duke Blue Devils -3.5 with a total of 46 and gives Duke Blue Devils a 59% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils: questions

Who is favored in North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils?: The market has Duke Blue Devils by 3. On the moneyline, Duke Blue Devils -162 and North Carolina Tar Heels +136.
What is the over/under for North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils?: The total is 47.5, after opening at 54.5. Our model makes it 46.
What does the model predict for North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils?: It leans Duke Blue Devils -3 (52%) and Under 47.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.