Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans prediction and odds
Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET · Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI · Peacock
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Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan State Spartans +7.5 | Michigan State Spartans +10 |
| Total | 48.5 | 47 |
| Moneyline | MSU +250 / NU -310 | MSU 27% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Michigan State Spartans +8.5, the total opened at 47.5.
Model lean: Northwestern Wildcats -7.5 (56%), Under 48.5 (55%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
No. 25 Northwestern Wildcats (4-1) visit Michigan State Spartans (2-4) at Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI, Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET, on Peacock. The market has Northwestern Wildcats by 7.5, with a total of 48.5. The line opened Michigan State Spartans +8.5. Our model makes it Michigan State Spartans +10 with a total of 47 and gives Michigan State Spartans a 27% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans: questions
- Who is favored in Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans?
- The market has Northwestern Wildcats by 7.5. On the moneyline, Michigan State Spartans +250 and Northwestern Wildcats -310.
- What is the over/under for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans?
- The total is 48.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 47.
- What does the model predict for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans?
- It leans Northwestern Wildcats -7.5 (56%) and Under 48.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.