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NCAAFWeek 7

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 7:30 PM ET · TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX · Fox

Also searched as Houston Cougars vs Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction, OKST vs HOU, HOU vs OKST and Oklahoma State Cowboys versus Houston Cougars.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadHouston Cougars -4.5Houston Cougars -6.5
Total61.559.5
MoneylineHOU -192 / OKST +160HOU 66% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Houston Cougars -3.5, the total opened at 57.5.

Model lean: Houston Cougars -4.5 (55%), Under 61.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 18 Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-1) visit No. 20 Houston Cougars (5-1) at TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX, Saturday, October 17 at 7:30 PM ET, on Fox. The market has Houston Cougars by 4.5, with a total of 61.5. The line opened Houston Cougars -3.5. Our model makes it Houston Cougars -6.5 with a total of 59.5 and gives Houston Cougars a 66% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars: questions

Who is favored in Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars?
The market has Houston Cougars by 4.5. On the moneyline, Houston Cougars -192 and Oklahoma State Cowboys +160.
What is the over/under for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars?
The total is 61.5, after opening at 57.5. Our model makes it 59.5.
What does the model predict for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars?
It leans Houston Cougars -4.5 (55%) and Under 61.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.