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NCAAFWeek 7

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET · Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI · CBS

Also searched as Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction, PSU vs MICH, MICH vs PSU and Penn State Nittany Lions versus Michigan Wolverines.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMichigan Wolverines -6.5Michigan Wolverines -6
Total42.542
MoneylineMICH -245 / PSU +200MICH 65% to win

Line movement: the total opened at 51.5.

Model lean: Penn State Nittany Lions moneyline +200 (35%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Penn State Nittany Lions (3-3) visit Michigan Wolverines (3-2) at Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI, Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET, on CBS. The market has Michigan Wolverines by 6.5, with a total of 42.5. Our model makes it Michigan Wolverines -6 with a total of 42 and gives Michigan Wolverines a 65% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines: questions

Who is favored in Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines?
The market has Michigan Wolverines by 6.5. On the moneyline, Michigan Wolverines -245 and Penn State Nittany Lions +200.
What is the over/under for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines?
The total is 42.5, after opening at 51.5. Our model makes it 42.
What does the model predict for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines?
It leans Penn State Nittany Lions moneyline +200 (35%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.