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NCAAFWeek 7

San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 9:00 PM ET · Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX · MW+

Also searched as UTEP Miners vs San José State Spartans prediction, SJSU vs UTEP, UTEP vs SJSU and San José State Spartans versus UTEP Miners.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUTEP Miners +7.5UTEP Miners +8
Total47.548.5
MoneylineUTEP +250 / SJSU -310UTEP 31% to win

Line movement: the spread opened UTEP Miners +10, the total opened at 52.5.

Model lean: Over 47.5 (53%), UTEP Miners moneyline +250 (31%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

San José State Spartans (3-3) visit UTEP Miners (1-5) at Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX, Saturday, October 17 at 9:00 PM ET, on MW+. The market has San José State Spartans by 7.5, with a total of 47.5. The line opened UTEP Miners +10. Our model makes it UTEP Miners +8 with a total of 48.5 and gives UTEP Miners a 31% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners: questions

Who is favored in San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners?
The market has San José State Spartans by 7.5. On the moneyline, UTEP Miners +250 and San José State Spartans -310.
What is the over/under for San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners?
The total is 47.5, after opening at 52.5. Our model makes it 48.5.
What does the model predict for San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners?
It leans Over 47.5 (53%) and UTEP Miners moneyline +250 (31%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.