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NCAAFWeek 7

Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET · Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI · ESPN+

Also searched as Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Toledo Rockets prediction, TOL vs EMU, EMU vs TOL and Toledo Rockets versus Eastern Michigan Eagles.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadEastern Michigan Eagles +6.5Eastern Michigan Eagles +3.5
Total53.554.5
MoneylineEMU +195 / TOL -238EMU 41% to win

Line movement: the total opened at 52.5.

Model lean: Eastern Michigan Eagles +6.5 (57%), Over 53.5 (52%), Eastern Michigan Eagles moneyline +195 (41%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Toledo Rockets (4-2) visit Eastern Michigan Eagles (4-3) at Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI, Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Toledo Rockets by 6.5, with a total of 53.5. Our model makes it Eastern Michigan Eagles +3.5 with a total of 54.5 and gives Eastern Michigan Eagles a 41% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles: questions

Who is favored in Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles?
The market has Toledo Rockets by 6.5. On the moneyline, Eastern Michigan Eagles +195 and Toledo Rockets -238.
What is the over/under for Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles?
The total is 53.5, after opening at 52.5. Our model makes it 54.5.
What does the model predict for Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles?
It leans Eastern Michigan Eagles +6.5 (57%) and Over 53.5 (52%) and Eastern Michigan Eagles moneyline +195 (41%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.