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NCAAFWeek 7

Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 5:00 PM ET · Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA · ESPN+

Also searched as Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Troy Trojans prediction, TROY vs UL, UL vs TROY and Troy Trojans versus Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns -4.5Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -6
Total49.549.5
MoneylineUL -180 / TROY +150UL 64% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -3.5, the total opened at 47.5.

Model lean: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -4.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Troy Trojans (3-2) visit Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (4-2) at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA, Saturday, October 17 at 5:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns by 4.5, with a total of 49.5. The line opened Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -3.5. Our model makes it Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -6 with a total of 49.5 and gives Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns a 64% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: questions

Who is favored in Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?
The market has Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns by 4.5. On the moneyline, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -180 and Troy Trojans +150.
What is the over/under for Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?
The total is 49.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 49.5.
What does the model predict for Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?
It leans Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -4.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.