Who is favored in UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons?

The market has Air Force Falcons by 1.5. On the moneyline, Air Force Falcons -112 and UNLV Rebels -108.

What is the over/under for UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons?

The total is 47.5, after opening at 48.5. Our model makes it 45.

What does the model predict for UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons?

It leans Air Force Falcons -1.5 (53%) and Under 47.5 (57%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 7

UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET · Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO · CBSSN

Also searched as Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels prediction, UNLV vs AFA, AFA vs UNLV and UNLV Rebels versus Air Force Falcons.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Air Force Falcons -1.5	Air Force Falcons -2.5
Total	47.5	45
Moneyline	AFA -112 / UNLV -108	AFA 56% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Air Force Falcons +3, the total opened at 48.5.

Model lean: Air Force Falcons -1.5 (53%), Under 47.5 (57%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

UNLV Rebels (4-2) visit Air Force Falcons (4-1) at Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO, Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Air Force Falcons by 1.5, with a total of 47.5. The line opened Air Force Falcons +3. Our model makes it Air Force Falcons -2.5 with a total of 45 and gives Air Force Falcons a 56% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons: questions

Who is favored in UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons?: The market has Air Force Falcons by 1.5. On the moneyline, Air Force Falcons -112 and UNLV Rebels -108.
What is the over/under for UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons?: The total is 47.5, after opening at 48.5. Our model makes it 45.
What does the model predict for UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons?: It leans Air Force Falcons -1.5 (53%) and Under 47.5 (57%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.