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NCAAFWeek 7

Western Michigan Broncos vs Central Michigan Chippewas prediction and odds

Saturday, October 17 at 1:30 PM ET · Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI · ESPN+

Also searched as Central Michigan Chippewas vs Western Michigan Broncos prediction, WMU vs CMU, CMU vs WMU and Western Michigan Broncos versus Central Michigan Chippewas.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadCentral Michigan Chippewas +6.5Central Michigan Chippewas +6
Total43.542.5
MoneylineCMU +210 / WMU -258CMU 35% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Central Michigan Chippewas +7, the total opened at 42.5.

Model lean: Under 43.5 (53%), Central Michigan Chippewas moneyline +210 (35%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Western Michigan Broncos (4-2) visit Central Michigan Chippewas (3-3) at Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI, Saturday, October 17 at 1:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Western Michigan Broncos by 6.5, with a total of 43.5. The line opened Central Michigan Chippewas +7. Our model makes it Central Michigan Chippewas +6 with a total of 42.5 and gives Central Michigan Chippewas a 35% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Western Michigan Broncos vs Central Michigan Chippewas: questions

Who is favored in Western Michigan Broncos vs Central Michigan Chippewas?
The market has Western Michigan Broncos by 6.5. On the moneyline, Central Michigan Chippewas +210 and Western Michigan Broncos -258.
What is the over/under for Western Michigan Broncos vs Central Michigan Chippewas?
The total is 43.5, after opening at 42.5. Our model makes it 42.5.
What does the model predict for Western Michigan Broncos vs Central Michigan Chippewas?
It leans Under 43.5 (53%) and Central Michigan Chippewas moneyline +210 (35%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.