Who is favored in Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

The market has Chicago Bears by 1.5. On the moneyline, Atlanta Falcons -105 and Chicago Bears -115.

What is the over/under for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

The total is 51.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 49.5.

What does the model predict for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

It leans Under 51.5 (58%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NFLWeek 6

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons prediction and odds

Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA · Fox

Also searched as Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears prediction, CHI vs ATL, ATL vs CHI and Chicago Bears versus Atlanta Falcons.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Atlanta Falcons +1.5	Atlanta Falcons +2
Total	51.5	49.5
Moneyline	ATL -105 / CHI -115	ATL 45% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Atlanta Falcons +3, the total opened at 47.5.

Model lean: Under 51.5 (58%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Chicago Bears (3-2) visit Atlanta Falcons (2-3) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA, Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET, on Fox. The market has Chicago Bears by 1.5, with a total of 51.5. The line opened Atlanta Falcons +3. Our model makes it Atlanta Falcons +2 with a total of 49.5 and gives Atlanta Falcons a 45% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons: questions

Who is favored in Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?: The market has Chicago Bears by 1.5. On the moneyline, Atlanta Falcons -105 and Chicago Bears -115.
What is the over/under for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?: The total is 51.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 49.5.
What does the model predict for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?: It leans Under 51.5 (58%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.