New York Jets vs New England Patriots prediction and odds
Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA · CBS
Also searched as New England Patriots vs New York Jets prediction, NYJ vs NE, NE vs NYJ and New York Jets versus New England Patriots.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New England Patriots -7.5 | New England Patriots -8 |
| Total | 43.5 | 40 |
| Moneyline | NE -325 / NYJ +260 | NE 73% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened New England Patriots -9.5, the total opened at 42.5.
Model lean: Under 43.5 (63%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
New York Jets (2-3) visit New England Patriots (3-2) at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA, Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET, on CBS. The market has New England Patriots by 7.5, with a total of 43.5. The line opened New England Patriots -9.5. Our model makes it New England Patriots -8 with a total of 40 and gives New England Patriots a 73% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
New York Jets vs New England Patriots: questions
- Who is favored in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
- The market has New England Patriots by 7.5. On the moneyline, New England Patriots -325 and New York Jets +260.
- What is the over/under for New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
- The total is 43.5, after opening at 42.5. Our model makes it 40.
- What does the model predict for New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
- It leans Under 43.5 (63%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.