Who is favored in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The market has Pittsburgh Steelers by 2.5. On the moneyline, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +124 and Pittsburgh Steelers -148.

What is the over/under for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The total is 39.5, after opening at 45.5. Our model makes it 36.

What does the model predict for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

It leans Under 39.5 (64%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NFLWeek 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction and odds

Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL · CBS

Also searched as Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction, PIT vs TB, TB vs PIT and Pittsburgh Steelers versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
Total	39.5	36
Moneyline	TB +124 / PIT -148	TB 41% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5, the total opened at 45.5.

Model lean: Under 39.5 (64%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2) visit Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-4) at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL, Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET, on CBS. The market has Pittsburgh Steelers by 2.5, with a total of 39.5. The line opened Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5. Our model makes it Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 with a total of 36 and gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 41% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: questions

Who is favored in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?: The market has Pittsburgh Steelers by 2.5. On the moneyline, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +124 and Pittsburgh Steelers -148.
What is the over/under for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?: The total is 39.5, after opening at 45.5. Our model makes it 36.
What does the model predict for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?: It leans Under 39.5 (64%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.