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NFLWeek 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons prediction and odds

Sunday, November 8 at 9:30 AM ET · Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid · NFL Net

Also searched as Atlanta Falcons vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction, CIN vs ATL, ATL vs CIN and Cincinnati Bengals versus Atlanta Falcons.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadAtlanta Falcons +3Atlanta Falcons +3.5
Total52.551.5
MoneylineATL +136 / CIN -162ATL 39% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Atlanta Falcons +4.5, the total opened at 48.5.

Model lean: Cincinnati Bengals -3 (52%), Under 52.5 (54%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Cincinnati Bengals (5-2) visit Atlanta Falcons (3-5) at Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Sunday, November 8 at 9:30 AM ET, on NFL Net. The market has Cincinnati Bengals by 3, with a total of 52.5. The line opened Atlanta Falcons +4.5. Our model makes it Atlanta Falcons +3.5 with a total of 51.5 and gives Atlanta Falcons a 39% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons: questions

Who is favored in Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons?
The market has Cincinnati Bengals by 3. On the moneyline, Atlanta Falcons +136 and Cincinnati Bengals -162.
What is the over/under for Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons?
The total is 52.5, after opening at 48.5. Our model makes it 51.5.
What does the model predict for Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons?
It leans Cincinnati Bengals -3 (52%) and Under 52.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.