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NFLWeek 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens prediction and odds

Thursday, November 5 at 8:15 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD · Prime Video

Also searched as Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction, JAX vs BAL, BAL vs JAX and Jacksonville Jaguars versus Baltimore Ravens.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadBaltimore Ravens +10Baltimore Ravens +11
Total40.544.5
MoneylineBAL +390 / JAX -520BAL 20% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Baltimore Ravens -4.5, the total opened at 49.5.

Model lean: Jacksonville Jaguars -10 (53%), Over 40.5 (66%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2) visit Baltimore Ravens (4-4) at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD, Thursday, November 5 at 8:15 PM ET, on Prime Video. The market has Jacksonville Jaguars by 10, with a total of 40.5. The line opened Baltimore Ravens -4.5. Our model makes it Baltimore Ravens +11 with a total of 44.5 and gives Baltimore Ravens a 20% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens: questions

Who is favored in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens?
The market has Jacksonville Jaguars by 10. On the moneyline, Baltimore Ravens +390 and Jacksonville Jaguars -520.
What is the over/under for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens?
The total is 40.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 44.5.
What does the model predict for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens?
It leans Jacksonville Jaguars -10 (53%) and Over 40.5 (66%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.