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NFLWeek 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts prediction and odds

Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN · Fox

Also searched as Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys prediction, DAL vs IND, IND vs DAL and Dallas Cowboys versus Indianapolis Colts.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadIndianapolis Colts +6Indianapolis Colts +2.5
MoneylineIND +230 / DAL -285IND 43% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Indianapolis Colts +1.5, the total opened at 52.5.

Model lean: Indianapolis Colts +6 (61%), Indianapolis Colts moneyline +230 (43%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Dallas Cowboys (3-5) visit Indianapolis Colts (2-6) at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN, Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM ET, on Fox. The market has Dallas Cowboys by 6, with a total of 51.5. The line opened Indianapolis Colts +1.5. Our model makes it Indianapolis Colts +2.5 and gives Indianapolis Colts a 43% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts: questions

Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts?
The market has Dallas Cowboys by 6. On the moneyline, Indianapolis Colts +230 and Dallas Cowboys -285.
What is the over/under for Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts?
The total is 51.5, after opening at 52.5.
What does the model predict for Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts?
It leans Indianapolis Colts +6 (61%) and Indianapolis Colts moneyline +230 (43%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.