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NFLWeek 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers prediction and odds

Sunday, October 18 at 8:20 PM ET · Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI · NBC

Also searched as Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys prediction, DAL vs GB, GB vs DAL and Dallas Cowboys versus Green Bay Packers.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadGreen Bay Packers -1.5Green Bay Packers -2.5
Total53.552
MoneylineGB -122 / DAL +102GB 57% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Green Bay Packers -3, the total opened at 51.5.

Model lean: Green Bay Packers -1.5 (53%), Under 53.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Dallas Cowboys (2-3) visit Green Bay Packers (3-2) at Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI, Sunday, October 18 at 8:20 PM ET, on NBC. The market has Green Bay Packers by 1.5, with a total of 53.5. The line opened Green Bay Packers -3. Our model makes it Green Bay Packers -2.5 with a total of 52 and gives Green Bay Packers a 57% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers: questions

Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers?
The market has Green Bay Packers by 1.5. On the moneyline, Green Bay Packers -122 and Dallas Cowboys +102.
What is the over/under for Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers?
The total is 53.5, after opening at 51.5. Our model makes it 52.
What does the model predict for Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers?
It leans Green Bay Packers -1.5 (53%) and Under 53.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.