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NFLWeek 8Final

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos prediction and odds

Sunday, November 1 at 4:25 PM ET · Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO · CBS

Also searched as Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction, KC vs DEN, DEN vs KC and Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos.

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 24, Denver Broncos 28

Result: Denver Broncos by 4, 52 points in total. The model had Denver Broncos +2.5 and a total of 39.5.

Our play on this game

Under 41.5 -115lost -1.50u

Staked at 1.5% of bankroll.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadDenver Broncos +1.5Denver Broncos +2.5
Total41.539.5
MoneylineDEN +102 / KC -122DEN 43% to win

Model lean: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (52%), Under 41.5 (59%)

This game also had a play, shown above.

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Preview

Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) visited Denver Broncos (6-2) at Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO, Sunday, November 1 at 4:25 PM ET, on CBS. The market has Kansas City Chiefs by 1.5, with a total of 41.5. Our model makes it Denver Broncos +2.5 with a total of 39.5 and gives Denver Broncos a 43% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos: questions

Who is favored in Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?
The market has Kansas City Chiefs by 1.5. On the moneyline, Denver Broncos +102 and Kansas City Chiefs -122.
What is the over/under for Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?
The total is 41.5. Our model makes it 39.5.
What was Spreadhound's pick for Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?
Under 41.5 -115, staked at 1.5% of bankroll. It lost, -1.50 units.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.