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NFLWeek 8Final

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins prediction and odds

Sunday, November 1 at 4:25 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL · CBS

Also searched as Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots prediction, NE vs MIA, MIA vs NE and New England Patriots versus Miami Dolphins.

Final: New England Patriots 24, Miami Dolphins 19

Result: New England Patriots by 5, 43 points in total. The model had Miami Dolphins +7.5 and a total of 42.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMiami Dolphins +7Miami Dolphins +7.5
Total43.542
MoneylineMIA +270 / NE -340MIA 29% to win

Model lean: Under 43.5 (56%), Miami Dolphins moneyline +270 (29%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

New England Patriots (5-3) visited Miami Dolphins (1-6) at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL, Sunday, November 1 at 4:25 PM ET, on CBS. The market has New England Patriots by 7, with a total of 43.5. Our model makes it Miami Dolphins +7.5 with a total of 42 and gives Miami Dolphins a 29% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins: questions

Who is favored in New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?
The market has New England Patriots by 7. On the moneyline, Miami Dolphins +270 and New England Patriots -340.
What is the over/under for New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?
The total is 43.5. Our model makes it 42.
What does the model predict for New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?
It leans Under 43.5 (56%) and Miami Dolphins moneyline +270 (29%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.