Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins prediction and odds
Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL · Fox
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami Dolphins +7 | Miami Dolphins +6.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 |
| Moneyline | MIA +280 / CIN -355 | MIA 32% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Miami Dolphins +5.5, the total opened at 48.5.
Model lean: Miami Dolphins +7 (52%), Miami Dolphins moneyline +280 (32%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) visit Miami Dolphins (0-4) at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL, Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM ET, on Fox. The market has Cincinnati Bengals by 7, with a total of 42.5. The line opened Miami Dolphins +5.5. Our model makes it Miami Dolphins +6.5 with a total of 42.5 and gives Miami Dolphins a 32% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins: questions
- Who is favored in Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins?
- The market has Cincinnati Bengals by 7. On the moneyline, Miami Dolphins +280 and Cincinnati Bengals -355.
- What is the over/under for Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins?
- The total is 42.5, after opening at 48.5. Our model makes it 42.5.
- What does the model predict for Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins?
- It leans Miami Dolphins +7 (52%) and Miami Dolphins moneyline +280 (32%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.