Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans prediction and odds
Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN · CBS
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tennessee Titans +7.5 | Tennessee Titans +7.5 |
| Total | 37.5 | 36.5 |
| Moneyline | TEN +280 / HOU -355 | TEN 28% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Tennessee Titans +3.5, the total opened at 43.5.
Model lean: Under 37.5 (55%), Tennessee Titans moneyline +280 (28%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Houston Texans (0-4) visit Tennessee Titans (0-4) at Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN, Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM ET, on CBS. The market has Houston Texans by 7.5, with a total of 37.5. The line opened Tennessee Titans +3.5. Our model makes it Tennessee Titans +7.5 with a total of 36.5 and gives Tennessee Titans a 28% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans: questions
- Who is favored in Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans?
- The market has Houston Texans by 7.5. On the moneyline, Tennessee Titans +280 and Houston Texans -355.
- What is the over/under for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans?
- The total is 37.5, after opening at 43.5. Our model makes it 36.5.
- What does the model predict for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans?
- It leans Under 37.5 (55%) and Tennessee Titans moneyline +280 (28%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.