Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans prediction and odds
Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM ET · Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX · FOX
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Houston Texans -2.5 | Houston Texans -4 |
| Total | 48.5 | 47 |
| Moneyline | HOU -142 / DAL +120 | HOU 62% to win |
Line movement: the total opened at 47.5.
Model lean: Houston Texans -2.5 (54%), Under 48.5 (55%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Dallas Cowboys (1-2) visit Houston Texans (0-3) at Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX, Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM ET, on FOX. The market has Houston Texans by 2.5, with a total of 48.5. Our model makes it Houston Texans -4 with a total of 47 and gives Houston Texans a 62% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans: questions
- Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans?
- The market has Houston Texans by 2.5. On the moneyline, Houston Texans -142 and Dallas Cowboys +120.
- What is the over/under for Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans?
- The total is 48.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 47.
- What does the model predict for Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans?
- It leans Houston Texans -2.5 (54%) and Under 48.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.