New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills prediction and odds
Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM ET · Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY · CBS
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Total | 48.5 | 49 |
Line movement: the spread opened Buffalo Bills -3, the total opened at 49.5.
No lean: the model sits close to the market
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
New England Patriots (1-2) visit Buffalo Bills (3-0) at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY, Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM ET, on CBS. The market has Buffalo Bills by 7, with a total of 48.5. The line opened Buffalo Bills -3. Our model has a total of 49.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills: questions
- Who is favored in New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?
- The market has Buffalo Bills by 7. On the moneyline, Buffalo Bills -298 and New England Patriots +240.
- What is the over/under for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?
- The total is 48.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 49.
- What does the model predict for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?
- It sits close to the market on this one, so it has no lean and no play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.