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NFLWeek 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction and odds

Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA · FOX

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadPhiladelphia Eagles +3Philadelphia Eagles +3.5
Total43.543.5
MoneylinePHI +136 / LAR -162PHI 40% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Philadelphia Eagles +1.5, the total opened at 47.5.

No lean: the model sits close to the market

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Los Angeles Rams (1-2) visit Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA, Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM ET, on FOX. The market has Los Angeles Rams by 3, with a total of 43.5. The line opened Philadelphia Eagles +1.5. Our model makes it Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 with a total of 43.5 and gives Philadelphia Eagles a 40% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles: questions

Who is favored in Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles?
The market has Los Angeles Rams by 3. On the moneyline, Philadelphia Eagles +136 and Los Angeles Rams -162.
What is the over/under for Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles?
The total is 43.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 43.5.
What does the model predict for Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles?
It sits close to the market on this one, so it has no lean and no play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.