Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders prediction and odds
Sunday, October 4 at 9:30 AM ET · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London · NFL Net
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Washington Commanders +3.5 | Washington Commanders +5 |
| Moneyline | WSH +154 / IND -185 | WSH 36% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Washington Commanders -1.5, the total opened at 48.5.
Model lean: Indianapolis Colts -3.5 (54%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Indianapolis Colts (1-2) visit Washington Commanders (1-2) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Sunday, October 4 at 9:30 AM ET, on NFL Net. The market has Indianapolis Colts by 3.5, with a total of 47.5. The line opened Washington Commanders -1.5. Our model makes it Washington Commanders +5 and gives Washington Commanders a 36% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders: questions
- Who is favored in Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders?
- The market has Indianapolis Colts by 3.5. On the moneyline, Washington Commanders +154 and Indianapolis Colts -185.
- What is the over/under for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders?
- The total is 47.5, after opening at 48.5.
- What does the model predict for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders?
- It leans Indianapolis Colts -3.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.