Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction and odds
Sunday, October 11 at 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA · CBS
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 | Los Angeles Chargers +3 |
| Moneyline | LAC +154 / DEN -185 | LAC 41% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Los Angeles Chargers -2.5, the total opened at 44.5.
Model lean: Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (52%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Denver Broncos (2-2) visit Los Angeles Chargers (0-4) at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA, Sunday, October 11 at 4:05 PM ET, on CBS. The market has Denver Broncos by 3.5, with a total of 42.5. The line opened Los Angeles Chargers -2.5. Our model makes it Los Angeles Chargers +3 and gives Los Angeles Chargers a 41% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers: questions
- Who is favored in Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?
- The market has Denver Broncos by 3.5. On the moneyline, Los Angeles Chargers +154 and Denver Broncos -185.
- What is the over/under for Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?
- The total is 42.5, after opening at 44.5.
- What does the model predict for Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?
- It leans Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.