Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals prediction and odds
Sunday, October 11 at 4:25 PM ET · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ · Fox
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arizona Cardinals +4.5 | Arizona Cardinals +5 |
| Total | 54.5 | 54 |
| Moneyline | ARI +195 / DET -238 | ARI 35% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Arizona Cardinals +8.5, the total opened at 49.5.
Model lean: Detroit Lions -4.5 (52%), Arizona Cardinals moneyline +195 (35%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Detroit Lions (2-2) visit Arizona Cardinals (1-3) at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ, Sunday, October 11 at 4:25 PM ET, on Fox. The market has Detroit Lions by 4.5, with a total of 54.5. The line opened Arizona Cardinals +8.5. Our model makes it Arizona Cardinals +5 with a total of 54 and gives Arizona Cardinals a 35% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals: questions
- Who is favored in Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals?
- The market has Detroit Lions by 4.5. On the moneyline, Arizona Cardinals +195 and Detroit Lions -238.
- What is the over/under for Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals?
- The total is 54.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 54.
- What does the model predict for Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals?
- It leans Detroit Lions -4.5 (52%) and Arizona Cardinals moneyline +195 (35%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.