Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings prediction and odds
Sunday, October 4 at 4:05 PM ET · U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN · FOX
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Minnesota Vikings -10.5 | Minnesota Vikings -11.5 |
| Total | 38.5 | 37.5 |
| Moneyline | MIN -650 / MIA +470 | MIN 81% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Minnesota Vikings -7.5, the total opened at 43.5.
Model lean: Minnesota Vikings -10.5 (53%), Under 38.5 (54%), Miami Dolphins moneyline +470 (19%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Miami Dolphins (0-3) visit Minnesota Vikings (3-0) at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN, Sunday, October 4 at 4:05 PM ET, on FOX. The market has Minnesota Vikings by 10.5, with a total of 38.5. The line opened Minnesota Vikings -7.5. Our model makes it Minnesota Vikings -11.5 with a total of 37.5 and gives Minnesota Vikings a 81% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings: questions
- Who is favored in Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings?
- The market has Minnesota Vikings by 10.5. On the moneyline, Minnesota Vikings -650 and Miami Dolphins +470.
- What is the over/under for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings?
- The total is 38.5, after opening at 43.5. Our model makes it 37.5.
- What does the model predict for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings?
- It leans Minnesota Vikings -10.5 (53%) and Under 38.5 (54%) and Miami Dolphins moneyline +470 (19%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.