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NFLWeek 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks prediction and odds

Sunday, October 11 at 4:25 PM ET · Lumen Field, Seattle, WA · Fox

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadSeattle Seahawks -2.5Seattle Seahawks -3.5
Total46.547
MoneylineSEA -155 / SF +130SEA 61% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Seattle Seahawks -3.5.

Model lean: Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

San Francisco 49ers (4-0) visit Seattle Seahawks (3-1) at Lumen Field, Seattle, WA, Sunday, October 11 at 4:25 PM ET, on Fox. The market has Seattle Seahawks by 2.5, with a total of 46.5. The line opened Seattle Seahawks -3.5. Our model makes it Seattle Seahawks -3.5 with a total of 47 and gives Seattle Seahawks a 61% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks: questions

Who is favored in San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks?
The market has Seattle Seahawks by 2.5. On the moneyline, Seattle Seahawks -155 and San Francisco 49ers +130.
What is the over/under for San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks?
The total is 46.5. Our model makes it 47.
What does the model predict for San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks?
It leans Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.