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NFLWeek 4

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens prediction and odds

Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD · CBS

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadBaltimore Ravens -11.5Baltimore Ravens -13
Total43.543
MoneylineBAL -750 / TEN +525BAL 84% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Baltimore Ravens -8.5, the total opened at 47.5.

Model lean: Baltimore Ravens -11.5 (54%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Tennessee Titans (0-3) visit Baltimore Ravens (2-1) at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD, Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM ET, on CBS. The market has Baltimore Ravens by 11.5, with a total of 43.5. The line opened Baltimore Ravens -8.5. Our model makes it Baltimore Ravens -13 with a total of 43 and gives Baltimore Ravens a 84% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens: questions

Who is favored in Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens?
The market has Baltimore Ravens by 11.5. On the moneyline, Baltimore Ravens -750 and Tennessee Titans +525.
What is the over/under for Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens?
The total is 43.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 43.
What does the model predict for Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens?
It leans Baltimore Ravens -11.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.