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NCAAFWeek 10

Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET · Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA · ABC

Also searched as LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction, ALA vs LSU, LSU vs ALA and Alabama Crimson Tide versus LSU Tigers.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadLSU Tigers -5.5LSU Tigers -3.5
Total52.555
MoneylineLSU -225 / ALA +185LSU 58% to win

Line movement: the spread opened LSU Tigers -4, the total opened at 54.5.

Model lean: Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 (55%), Over 52.5 (57%), Alabama Crimson Tide moneyline +185 (42%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 9 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2) visit No. 15 LSU Tigers (6-2) at Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA, Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET, on ABC. The market has LSU Tigers by 5.5, with a total of 52.5. The line opened LSU Tigers -4. Our model makes it LSU Tigers -3.5 with a total of 55 and gives LSU Tigers a 58% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers: questions

Who is favored in Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers?
The market has LSU Tigers by 5.5. On the moneyline, LSU Tigers -225 and Alabama Crimson Tide +185.
What is the over/under for Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers?
The total is 52.5, after opening at 54.5. Our model makes it 55.
What does the model predict for Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers?
It leans Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 (55%) and Over 52.5 (57%) and Alabama Crimson Tide moneyline +185 (42%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.