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NCAAFWeek 10

James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction and odds

Thursday, November 5 at 8:00 PM ET · M. M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS · ESPN2

Also searched as Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs James Madison Dukes prediction, JMU vs USM, USM vs JMU and James Madison Dukes versus Southern Miss Golden Eagles.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadSouthern Miss Golden Eagles +14.5Southern Miss Golden Eagles +15.5
Total58.559
MoneylineUSM +470 / JMU -650USM 17% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Southern Miss Golden Eagles +15.5, the total opened at 56.5.

Model lean: James Madison Dukes -14.5 (52%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

James Madison Dukes (7-2) visit Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-5) at M. M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS, Thursday, November 5 at 8:00 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has James Madison Dukes by 14.5, with a total of 58.5. The line opened Southern Miss Golden Eagles +15.5. Our model makes it Southern Miss Golden Eagles +15.5 with a total of 59 and gives Southern Miss Golden Eagles a 17% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles: questions

Who is favored in James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?
The market has James Madison Dukes by 14.5. On the moneyline, Southern Miss Golden Eagles +470 and James Madison Dukes -650.
What is the over/under for James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?
The total is 58.5, after opening at 56.5. Our model makes it 59.
What does the model predict for James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?
It leans James Madison Dukes -14.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.