Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets prediction and odds
Wednesday, November 4 at 7:00 PM ET · Hornet Stadium, Sacramento, CA · CBSSN
Also searched as Sacramento State Hornets vs Toledo Rockets prediction, TOL vs SAC, SAC vs TOL and Toledo Rockets versus Sacramento State Hornets.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sacramento State Hornets +25.5 | Sacramento State Hornets +23 |
| Total | 52.5 | 54 |
| Moneyline | SAC +1300 / TOL -2800 | SAC 8% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Sacramento State Hornets +26.5, the total opened at 51.5.
Model lean: Sacramento State Hornets +25.5 (57%), Over 52.5 (55%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Toledo Rockets (6-2) visit Sacramento State Hornets (2-7) at Hornet Stadium, Sacramento, CA, Wednesday, November 4 at 7:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Toledo Rockets by 25.5, with a total of 52.5. The line opened Sacramento State Hornets +26.5. Our model makes it Sacramento State Hornets +23 with a total of 54 and gives Sacramento State Hornets a 8% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets: questions
- Who is favored in Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?
- The market has Toledo Rockets by 25.5. On the moneyline, Sacramento State Hornets +1300 and Toledo Rockets -2800.
- What is the over/under for Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?
- The total is 52.5, after opening at 51.5. Our model makes it 54.
- What does the model predict for Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?
- It leans Sacramento State Hornets +25.5 (57%) and Over 52.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.