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NCAAFWeek 10

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction and odds

Friday, November 6 at 8:00 PM ET · Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL · Fox

Also searched as Illinois Fighting Illini vs Nebraska Cornhuskers prediction, NEB vs ILL, ILL vs NEB and Nebraska Cornhuskers versus Illinois Fighting Illini.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadIllinois Fighting Illini +4.5Illinois Fighting Illini +4.5
Total49.548
MoneylineILL +164 / NEB -198ILL 39% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Illinois Fighting Illini +6, the total opened at 50.5.

Model lean: Under 49.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-3) visit Illinois Fighting Illini (5-3) at Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL, Friday, November 6 at 8:00 PM ET, on Fox. The market has Nebraska Cornhuskers by 4.5, with a total of 49.5. The line opened Illinois Fighting Illini +6. Our model makes it Illinois Fighting Illini +4.5 with a total of 48 and gives Illinois Fighting Illini a 39% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini: questions

Who is favored in Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
The market has Nebraska Cornhuskers by 4.5. On the moneyline, Illinois Fighting Illini +164 and Nebraska Cornhuskers -198.
What is the over/under for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
The total is 49.5, after opening at 50.5. Our model makes it 48.
What does the model predict for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
It leans Under 49.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.