Who is favored in South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

The market has East Carolina Pirates by 1.5. On the moneyline, East Carolina Pirates -125 and South Florida Bulls +105.

What is the over/under for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

The total is 39.5, after opening at 45.5. Our model makes it 39.5.

What does the model predict for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

It leans South Florida Bulls +1.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 10

South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates prediction and odds

Friday, November 6 at 7:30 PM ET · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC · ESPN2

Also searched as East Carolina Pirates vs South Florida Bulls prediction, USF vs ECU, ECU vs USF and South Florida Bulls versus East Carolina Pirates.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	East Carolina Pirates -1.5	East Carolina Pirates -1
Total	39.5	39.5
Moneyline	ECU -125 / USF +105	ECU 52% to win

Line movement: the spread opened East Carolina Pirates +1.5, the total opened at 45.5.

Model lean: South Florida Bulls +1.5 (52%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

South Florida Bulls (6-2) visit East Carolina Pirates (4-4) at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC, Friday, November 6 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has East Carolina Pirates by 1.5, with a total of 39.5. The line opened East Carolina Pirates +1.5. Our model makes it East Carolina Pirates -1 with a total of 39.5 and gives East Carolina Pirates a 52% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates: questions

Who is favored in South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?: The market has East Carolina Pirates by 1.5. On the moneyline, East Carolina Pirates -125 and South Florida Bulls +105.
What is the over/under for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?: The total is 39.5, after opening at 45.5. Our model makes it 39.5.
What does the model predict for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?: It leans South Florida Bulls +1.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.