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NCAAFWeek 10

Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction and odds

Wednesday, November 4 at 7:00 PM ET · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, MA · ESPNU

Also searched as Massachusetts Minutemen vs Ball State Cardinals prediction, BALL vs MASS, MASS vs BALL and Ball State Cardinals versus Massachusetts Minutemen.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
Total49.550.5

Line movement: the spread opened Massachusetts Minutemen -4.5, the total opened at 48.5.

Model lean: Over 49.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Ball State Cardinals (3-5) visit Massachusetts Minutemen (4-4) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, MA, Wednesday, November 4 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPNU. The market has Massachusetts Minutemen by 3, with a total of 49.5. The line opened Massachusetts Minutemen -4.5. Our model has a total of 50.5.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen: questions

Who is favored in Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen?
The market has Massachusetts Minutemen by 3. On the moneyline, Massachusetts Minutemen -155 and Ball State Cardinals +130.
What is the over/under for Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen?
The total is 49.5, after opening at 48.5. Our model makes it 50.5.
What does the model predict for Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen?
It leans Over 49.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.