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NCAAFWeek 10

UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction and odds

Thursday, November 5 at 7:30 PM ET · Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL · ESPN

Also searched as Florida Atlantic Owls vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction, UTSA vs FAU, FAU vs UTSA and UTSA Roadrunners versus Florida Atlantic Owls.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadFlorida Atlantic Owls +7Florida Atlantic Owls +7.5
Total72.571
MoneylineFAU +215 / UTSA -265FAU 32% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Florida Atlantic Owls +6.5, the total opened at 70.5.

Model lean: Under 72.5 (54%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

UTSA Roadrunners (7-1) visit Florida Atlantic Owls (5-3) at Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL, Thursday, November 5 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has UTSA Roadrunners by 7, with a total of 72.5. The line opened Florida Atlantic Owls +6.5. Our model makes it Florida Atlantic Owls +7.5 with a total of 71 and gives Florida Atlantic Owls a 32% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls: questions

Who is favored in UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls?
The market has UTSA Roadrunners by 7. On the moneyline, Florida Atlantic Owls +215 and UTSA Roadrunners -265.
What is the over/under for UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls?
The total is 72.5, after opening at 70.5. Our model makes it 71.
What does the model predict for UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls?
It leans Under 72.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.