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NCAAFWeek 9Final

App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 6:30 PM ET · Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA · ESPN+

Also searched as Georgia Southern Eagles vs App State Mountaineers prediction, APP vs GASO, GASO vs APP and App State Mountaineers versus Georgia Southern Eagles.

Final: App State Mountaineers 3, Georgia Southern Eagles 19

Result: Georgia Southern Eagles by 16, 22 points in total. The model had Georgia Southern Eagles -3.5 and a total of 53.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadGeorgia Southern Eagles -5.5Georgia Southern Eagles -3.5
Total56.553
MoneylineGASO -205 / APP +170GASO 58% to win

Model lean: App State Mountaineers +5.5 (55%), Under 56.5 (60%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

App State Mountaineers (5-3) visited Georgia Southern Eagles (4-4) at Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA, Saturday, October 31 at 6:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Georgia Southern Eagles by 5.5, with a total of 56.5. Our model makes it Georgia Southern Eagles -3.5 with a total of 53 and gives Georgia Southern Eagles a 58% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles: questions

Who is favored in App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles?
The market has Georgia Southern Eagles by 5.5. On the moneyline, Georgia Southern Eagles -205 and App State Mountaineers +170.
What is the over/under for App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles?
The total is 56.5. Our model makes it 53.
What does the model predict for App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles?
It leans App State Mountaineers +5.5 (55%) and Under 56.5 (60%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.