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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET · Broadview Stadium, Buffalo, NY · ESPN+

Also searched as Buffalo Bulls vs Bowling Green Falcons prediction, BGSU vs BUFF, BUFF vs BGSU and Bowling Green Falcons versus Buffalo Bulls.

Final: Bowling Green Falcons 24, Buffalo Bulls 31

Result: Buffalo Bulls by 7, 55 points in total. The model had Buffalo Bulls -4.5 and a total of 45.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadBuffalo Bulls -3.5Buffalo Bulls -4.5
Total44.545
MoneylineBUFF -185 / BGSU +154BUFF 61% to win

Model lean: Buffalo Bulls -3.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Bowling Green Falcons (2-6) visited Buffalo Bulls (5-3) at Broadview Stadium, Buffalo, NY, Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Buffalo Bulls by 3.5, with a total of 44.5. Our model makes it Buffalo Bulls -4.5 with a total of 45 and gives Buffalo Bulls a 61% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls: questions

Who is favored in Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls?
The market has Buffalo Bulls by 3.5. On the moneyline, Buffalo Bulls -185 and Bowling Green Falcons +154.
What is the over/under for Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls?
The total is 44.5. Our model makes it 45.
What does the model predict for Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls?
It leans Buffalo Bulls -3.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.